Prediction

Since I nailed "King Kong" (sarcasm alert, for those who need it), I think I'm in a pretty good position to make another prediction for 2006. Here goes: Iran will be attacked by Israel or the US (or both) in an effort to destroy its nuclear capability. The results will lead to a foreign affairs calculus that is dramatically different from where we find ourselves today. This issue will figure heavily in the 2006 congressional elections.

I think that's the most likely "serious big event" that can be predicted right now. In reality, of course, these kinds of predictions are almost always wrong- so there's my hedge.